Showing posts with label economics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economics. Show all posts

Friday, April 8, 2016

BEAM Prototype Habitat, Bigelow's Plans

The BEAM Bigelow Aerospace habitat module, will be launched toward the International Space Station (ISS) today: if all goes well.

BEAM is packed in the Dragon spacecraft's unpressurized section. This cargo run also carries supplies for the ISS crew, and for several dozen of the roughly 250 experiments planned for Expeditions 47 and 48. (SpaceX press kit)

After getting attached to the ISS and inflated, BEAM will mostly just sit there for at least two years: empty except when someone in the ISS takes samples and swaps out radiation sensors. I think that's a good idea, since BEAM is testing technology for Bigelow Aerospace rental properties in low Earth orbit.
  1. BEAM: a Bigelow Aerospace Inflatable Habitat Comes to the ISS
  2. Commercial Research in Orbit?
  3. Robert Bigelow: "Foretastes of the Space Age"
As I'm writing this, Thursday evening, spacexstats.com says that SpaceX CRS-8 will lift off at 20:43 UTC Friday, April 8, 2016.1 SpaceX has a webcast at spacex.com/webcast.



Update 00:10 UTC April 9, 2016

The SpaceX first stage landed successfully, and the Dragon spacecraft is on its way to the ISS.




Philosophers and Engineers



(From NASA, used w/o permission.)
(Part of the International Space Station.)

I've mentioned the aeolipiles — steam-powered rocket engines — of Vitruvius and Hero of Alexandria before. (October 10, 2014)

About two millennia later, folks living north of the old Roman imperial frontier learned how to make steam engines that don't explode: at least not often. A little later folks started building spaceships, which raises an interesting point: why didn't Athens build space stations?

I think it has something to do with economics, and a lot to do with attitude.

I agree with folks who say that the ancient Greek upper crust didn't think much of manual labor: that they saw it as something slaves did. Small wonder their philosophers carefully avoided finding practical applications for their theories.

Romans didn't have quite the same delicate sensibilities. They were top-rate engineers, given the limits of their numbering system. Try dividing LCX by XVII some time, and you'll see what I mean.

I gather that Romans often recognized that they weren't as "cultural" as the Greeks: but if a wealthy Roman wanted culture, he could buy a Greek, so that wasn't much of a problem — for the Roman.

On the 'up' side, Roman slaves could earn their freedom and become Roman citizens: an idea the Greeks didn't adopt.

By the way: slavery is a bad idea, and we shouldn't do it.

Having private property is okay, and the universal destination of goods is another topic. But treating humans as property is emphatically not okay It's "...a sin against the dignity of persons...." (Catechism of the Catholic Church, 2378, 2401-2406, 2414)

After about 19 centuries of reminding folks that loving God, loving neighbors, and seeing everyone as a neighbor2 is a good idea, a few countries stopped practicing slavery.

As I've said before, things often take time. Particularly when change means giving up long-established privileges. (July 5, 2015; January 18, 2015)

Where was I? Hero of Alexandria, steam power, Spartacus. Right.

Science, Pure and Otherwise



(From Bigelow Aerospace, used w/o permission.)
("...When fully expanded, the hull thickness will be approximately 0.46m (18in) and offer ballistic protection superior to that currently afforded to ISS. The hull will also feature at least four large UV protection coated windows that will offer unparalleled earth viewing from orbit...."
(Bigelow Aerospace))

I'm a Norwegian-Irish-Scots-American living in the Upper Midwest, so I'm neither ethnically nor geographically "Yankee:" but I think "Yankee ingenuity" is still a defining American trait.

I suspect the trait may be more common among first- and second-generation immigrants than among many 'real' Americans. When folks stop wanting to move to America, then I'll start worrying about my country's future, and that's yet another topic. (November 17, 2015; July 6, 2014)

I'll be talking about the Bigelow Aerospace BEAM module, and what that company may be doing in the next few years. It's an American outfit: but don't get the idea that aerospace enterprises are strictly "American."

I've talked about Reaction Engines Limited's Skylon project before. (May 2, 2014)

The last I heard, the Japanese Rocket Society's Kankoh-maru is still trying to get off the ground, financially and literally.

Starchaser Industries, a British firm, is hoping to get part of the nascent space tourism industry; Zero2infinity, a Spanish company, is developing high-altitude launching platforms; and ISC Kosmotras, an international outfit, is using modified R-36 missiles as satellite launchers.

ISC Kosmotras vehicles got the Bigelow Aerospace Genesis modules into orbit, and I'll get back to that.

We've long since gone past the point where space travel is "pure science," a strictly theoretical affair with no practical applications.

I see that as a good thing, but some have conniptions when business and science intersect.

Sometimes there's a real ethical issue buried under the rant. Sometimes — I'll let the Lemming, an online alter ego, speak for me:
"...The Lemming remembers watching a terribly serious thinker sputtering after the Russian space program launched a satellite.

His problem wasn't that the Russians had practical launch vehicles. He seemed offended because those people had put an advertisement on the rocket. Imagine!! That was an affront to science, apparently.

The Lemming's understanding of the situation was that the Russian space program was short on funds - and sold advertising space on their launch vehicle to help cover expenses. Which, to the Lemming, made sense.

Maybe it would be nice if exploration of space could be a 'pure' pursuit: an occupation of gentlemen; unsullied by mere commercial concerns.

The Lemming doesn't think that's how it's going to happen....
"
(Apathetic Lemming of the North (May 16, 2011))

1. BEAM: a Bigelow Aerospace Inflatable Habitat Comes to the ISS



(From Julie Jacobson/AP, via Wired, used w/o permission.)
("Bigelow Aerospace founder and president Robert Bigelow answers questions from members of the media during a news conference, Wednesday, Jan. 16, 2013, in Las Vegas."
(Wired))
"NASA Is Finally Sending a Hotel Magnate's Inflatable Habitat to the ISS"
Sarah Scoles, Science, Wired (April 4, 2016)

"When humans leave Earth for good, they're going to need somewhere to stay. Somewhere spacious, and safe. Portable, but comfy. Lightweight, but robust to the dangers of space. Something like a big bouncy castle for kids, but built to house astronauts and solar system colonists and tourists looking for an out-of-this-world vacation.

"It sounds like a sci-fi fever dream, but it's becoming reality. On Friday, SpaceX will launch a so-called 'expandable'—a prototype called the Bigelow Expandable Activity Module—to the International Space Station. (ISS) It will remain there, attached to the Tranquility module, for two years. Bigelow Aerospace hopes its time in orbit will prove the technology worthy of inhabitants...."
Sarah Scoles did a good job of research, taking readers on a quick tour of inflatable satellites and proposed off-Earth business ventures — including the Echo Mylar balloons, Barron Hilton's Lunar hotel, and a Goodyear inflatable space station.

The hundred-foot-diameter Echo satellites made it into orbit, but the Goodyear prototype didn't. "2001: A Space Odyssey" featured a Hilton hotel in the (fictional) Space Station V, and folks stopped visiting Earth's moon after the Apollo 17 mission.

Scoles' assertion that America's Congress ordered NASA to abandon the TransHab project because "a new, airy space station" would add problems to the over-budget and past-deadline ISS is plausible. Whether or not it's true: I don't know.

Whatever Congress had in mind, "in the 2000 NASA Authorization Act, Congress canceled TransHab. The housing bubble burst," as Scoles put it.

Bigelow Aerospace bought NASA's TransHab patents.

I don't mind a bit: particularly since B.A. actually did something with the research.

Empty, Mostly



(From Bigelow Aerospace, via Wired, used w/o permission.)
(BEAM)
"...For most of its stay, BEAM will be empty, except for the air it shares with the rest of the ISS. 'Currently there is no plan to use the BEAM module as a storage closet,' said Dasgupta. BEAM's empty space should have basically the same internal environment as the rest of the habitat. 'It might be a little cooler,' he said, by which he definitely meant a lot hipper, and also quieter because its walls absorb sound better than the station's metal.

"But four times a year, the station's astronauts will get to actually, you know, inhabit the place—for three hours at a time. With battery-operated flashlights, they will collect data about the module's temperature, pressure, general well-being, and radiation, and switch out radiation sensors. They will also swab samples of surfaces to see what weird life might be growing there, before going back to their regularly scheduled program and habitat.

"The balloon will protrude from the Space Station's side for two years. Then, the robotic arm will swing back around and unhook BEAM, its job complete. Cast into its own decaying orbit, the module will spiral back toward Earth, burning up in the atmosphere 290 days after its ejection...."
(Sarah Scoles, Science, Wired)
Bigelow Aerospace's Genesis I and Genesis II test modules have been orbiting Earth since 2006 and 2007, launched by ISC Kosmotras, a multinational commercial freight service using one-use converted Dnepr rockets.

We're still years — at least — from spaceplanes like Skylon, and I'm drifting off-topic.

Apparently BEAM's two-year scheduled attachment to the ISS is strictly a test of the tech's spaceworthiness.

I figure that keeping BEAM empty except for scheduled maintenance gives researchers 'clean' results: any changes will come from exposure of the outside to near-Earth space, or the inside's exposure to the ISS atmosphere.

Besides, at a tad over 400 kilometers, 250 miles, above Earth's surface; depending on comparatively untested tech isn't the safest option.

The half-dozen folks living and working there have other pressurized modules with a total volume about the same as a Boeing 747's. Considering that much of it is packed with equipment and supplies, it's probably not as spacious as it sounds.


2. Commercial Research in Orbit?



(From Biegelow Aerospace, via The Space Review, used w/o permission.)
("An illustration of Bigelow Aerospace's BEAM module attached to the ISS. While BEAM is a step towards commercial space stations, what types of customers they'll attract remains uncertain."
(The Space Review))
"The challenges of commercializing research in low Earth orbit"
Jeff Foust, The Space Review (April 4, 2016)

"On Friday afternoon, a SpaceX Dragon spacecraft is scheduled to launch to the International Space Station, the first resupply mission by the company since a June launch failure. Included in its cargo is the Bigelow Expandable Activity Module (BEAM), an inflatable (or expandable, as Bigelow Aerospace prefers to say) module that will be attached to the station. If all goes as planned, by late May the BEAM will be installed and expanded to its full size, enabling tests of the technology.

"Bigelow is just the latest in a wide range of companies to make use of the ISS for technology demonstration, satellite launches, and research of various types. Bigelow, though, has plans to develop its own space stations as well, and sees BEAM as the next step in those plans.

" 'A free flyer is absolutely a goal of Bigelow Aerospace, and the BEAM, which will be the first time that an astronaut steps inside an expandable habitat, is a very important milestone moving forward towards that vision,' said Mike Gold, director of DC operations and business growth, during a panel session March 30 at the National Academies that was part of a day-long examination of the commercial prospects for activities in low Earth orbit...."
Wikipedia's list of private spaceflight companies has separate lists for "Launch vehicles" and "Crew and cargo transport vehicles.

The former are mostly single-use expendable rockets; although it includes the SpaceX Falcon 9, which has a still-experimental reusable first stage. (December 24, 2015)

The latter includes (now-bankrupt) Rocketplane Kistler's K-1 planned reusable launch vehicle.

I'm not sure what the rationale is for placing vehicles in one or the other of those two lists.

Anyway, that Wikipedia page also lists Space mining and Space manufacturing separately: although Infinite Space Dynamics, Shackleton Energy Company, and Deep Space Industries show up in both. I talked about Deep Space Industries a few years back. (January 25, 2013)

Deep Space Industries' focus is on asteroid mining: which has the advantage of avoiding legal issues rooted in the Outer Space Treaty of 1966.

Shackleton Energy Company may be counting on world leaders to change their minds — or maybe they have really good lawyers. (February 5, 2016)

The Space Review's article focuses on "commercial prospects for activities in low Earth orbit."

Looking Beyond the Lab



(From Stephanie Schierholz/NASA, via Wikimedia Commons, used w/o permission.)
(BEAM (Bigelow Expandable Activity Module) at Bigelow's Las Vegas facility last year (March 12, 2015))
"...What emerged from that discussion is that the technical infrastructure needed for performing research in LEO, particularly by people, is finally coming together. Orbital ATK and SpaceX have vehicles to transport cargo to and from the ISS that can also be used commercially, while Sierra Nevada Corporation is developing its own cargo vehicle that will be ready in a few years. Boeing and SpaceX, meanwhile, are making progress on commercial crew vehicles that are scheduled to make test flights next year. And Bigelow has its B330 modules that the company says will be ready once commercial crew systems enter service.

"What was less clear from that discussion, though, was the demand for those systems: who will want a commercial space station, particularly when the commercial viability of LEO research remains uncertain?

"NASA argues that it is trying to stimulate that demand now on the ISS, with the goal of having sufficient demand to support commercial suppliers by the time the station is retired in the 2020s. 'Private industry is the driver for the development and the sustainment of the supply,' said Sam Scimemi, ISS director at NASA Headquarters, describing the agency's vision for commercialization in LEO.

"The demand for those commercial facilities, Scimemi said, could include NASA, but only as one customer of many at most. 'We expect that the majority of the demand will be private-sector driven,' he said. 'The majority of the NASA focus will be on beyond low Earth orbit.'..."
(Jeff Foust, The Space Review)
I'm not surprised that "the commercial viability of LEO research" is problematical. There's not all that much demand back on Earth, at least not yet.

We didn't have Earth-based research parks until the 1950s. These days we've got hundreds, which sounds like a lot: but that's hundreds total on the planet, including about 170 in North America.

They're generally associated with a previously-existing university: and I'd be astonished if we're within a generation of seeing the first orbital university campus.

My guess is that folks who are "chasing long-held visions of using space not just for research but also for manufacturing" are on the right track.

This is still speculation, but we're discovering that some materials, behave differently in free fall:
"...Current technology indicates that a microgravity environment has enabled researchers to grow three-dimensional tissues that have characteristics similar to body tissues and to produce protein crystals to aid in novel pharmaceutical development...."
("Fields of Research," International Space Station Payload Information Source, via Internet Archive Wayback Machine)
I'd love to give examples of some specific drug that can only be made in low Earth orbit, or another manufacturing process that makes economic sense there. As far as I know, there isn't one. Not today.

"Needs" Change




(From Cmglee, Geo Swan; via Wikimedia Commons, used w/o permission.)
(Orbits of GPS, GLONASS, Galileo, Compass (medium earth orbit) satellite navigation system, International Space Station, Hubble Space Telescope and Iridium constellation.)
"...'What can we not do without that we have to get from space?' asked Frank Culbertson, president of Orbital ATK's space systems division, about that search for a killer app for LEO research. 'We don't have that yet.'..."
(Jeff Foust, The Space Review)
"What we can not do without" has changed quite a bit since I started noticing things — communications satellites, for example.

The International Telegraph Union became a United Nations specialized agency in 1947. Now we're calling it the International Telecommunication Union, and one of its functions is sorting out disputes between folks who want their satellites in the similar orbits.

I remember when Telstar satellites were experimental, and when a live transatlantic broadcast was international news. We still don't "need" communications satellites: but we certainly notice when a live video feed from another continent isn't as crystal-clear as local coverage.

Weather satellites predate Telstar by a few years. Collecting data from remote areas, and Earth's ocean, helped make weather forecasting a whole lot more reliable than in my 'good old days.'

As with communications satellites, maybe we don't "need" accurate weather forecasts the way we need food and water: but knowing the odds that a tornado is coming is nice.

So is having National Weather Service who aren't afraid to tell us. I really do not miss the 'good old days.' (January 16, 2015)

FAQs



(From NASA, via Wikimedia Commons, used w/o permission.)
(BEAM mockup interior (2014))

Like most of the rest of the ISS, Bigelow's BEAM module has no windows: and doesn't need them, since it's there to 'flight test' Bigelow Aerospace inflatable habitat technology.

I'm fascinated by this sort of thing.

Your experience may vary: but if your day won't be complete without a learning more, I put a link list of resources at the end of this post.3

Here's an excerpt from a FAQ I didn't include in that list.
  • In its packed configuration, the module will measure approximately 8 feet in diameter.
  • In its expanded configuration, BEAM's internal dimensions provide 565 cubic feet of volume.
  • BEAM's mass is approximately 3,000 pounds.
  • BEAM is composed of: two metal bulkheads, an aluminum structure, and multiple layers of soft fabric with spacing between layers, protecting an internal restraint and bladder system. It has no windows.
  • BEAM will be attached to the aft section of the Tranquility Node on the International Space Station.
  • BEAM's mission duration is two years.
  • BEAM is outfitted with various sensors and radiation monitors.
    (Source: "BEAM Facts, Figures, FAQs," NASA (July 17, 2015))

3. Robert Bigelow: "Foretastes of the Space Age"



(From Michael Friberg, Bloomberg Businessweek; used w/o permission.)
("A cutaway showing the interior of the Olympus habitat, which has a volume more than double that of the International Space Station"
(Bloomberg Businessweek))
"A Las Vegas billionaire plans to build a real estate empire in space"
Adam Higginbotham, Bloomberg Businessweek (May 2, 2013)

"Robert Bigelow was no more than 9 years old when he heard his first atom bomb explosion. He was upstairs in his bedroom, in a two-story brick house in Las Vegas. There was a low rumble in the early hours of the morning; a bright flash seared the horizon. 'All of a sudden,' Bigelow remembers, 'it lights up like daytime.'...

"...As he grew up in the Las Vegas of the early ’50s—then still a small town—foretastes of the Space Age transfixed him: exotic jet planes screaming overhead from Nellis Air Force Base and stories of UFO sightings recounted by friends and family. At 12, Bigelow decided that his future lay in space travel, despite his limitations. 'I hated algebra,' he says. 'I knew I was no good at it.' So he resolved to choose a career that would make him rich enough that, one day, he could hire the scientific expertise required to launch his own space program. Until then, he would tell no one—not even his wife—about his ultimate goal. It took more than 40 years...."
Robert Bigelow is a few years older than I am, looks quite a few years younger, is a great deal richer. About the latter two: I don't mind.

Folks like him, Jacques Cousteau, Sir Goldsworthy Gurney, and Sir Isaac Newton are among the reasons I do not mind uneven distribution of wealth. As I've said before, being rich or poor is okay. What matters is what we do with our lives. (January 25, 2015; November 16, 2014)

Differences between folks isn't the problem: it's unjust differences. I've talked about the universal destination of goods, social justice, and Beaver Cleaver, before. (January 17, 2016; May 3, 2015)

Bigelow's sometimes called a "hotel magnate," which means that he owns Budget Suites of America: and has been developing hotels, motels and apartments since the late 1960s.

He's talked about hotels in space, maybe because that's likely to spark interest. He also sees other possibilities: like mining Helium-3 on Earth's moon. It's used in cryogenics and MRI machines, and (theoretically) could be used in fusion reactors — eventually.

The ESA and China have been talking about He-3 lunar mining:
Maybe that pesky Outer Space Treaty will finally get scrapped. Or ignored.

Space for Rent: Looking at Numbers



(From Michael Friberg, Bloomberg Businessweek; used w/o permission.)
("The B330 can be deployed by multiple launch vehicles and features an architecture designed with modular expansion in mind. A single B330 can be joined in orbit by multiple vehicles, in addition to other B330 and Bigelow Aerospace spacecraft."
(Bigelow Aerospace))
"...Although he'll be quite happy to sell habitats outright to his customers, he points out that for NASA—or the agencies of any other newly budget-conscious nations with ambitions beyond earth's atmosphere—leasing is by far the more affordable option. For only $51.25 million, Bigelow's sales brochure suggests, a client can travel to the Alpha Station and enjoy dominion over 110 cubic meters for 60 days.

" 'The main thing is trying to save them a lot of money on good quality hardware,' he says. Bigelow's intention is to become the first full-service landlord in space. 'Bring your clothes and your money. We provide everything else.'..."
(Adam Higginbotham, Bloomberg Businessweek)
Let's look at the numbers: 110 cubic meters, 60 days, $51,250,000 U.S. dollars. At first glance, that looks like a lot of money: and it is, for someone like me. We're making our own laundry detergent and growing produce out back to make ends meet.

But let's say that I want, or could use, two months in low Earth orbit; and had a company in Ohio with an annual revenue of between $10,000,0000 and $1,000,000,000.

That's a "middle market" company, according to Ohio State University's National Center for the Middle Market.

It's still a lot of money, but at middle market's high end, it'd be very roughly 1/20th of the company's annual revenue.

Let's see how much room that gets me. 110 cubic meters is just over 3,884 cubic feet.

A standard 40-foot intermodal container — that's one of those big metal boxes you see on container ships, railroad flatcars, or hauled by semitrailers — holds 3,040 cubic feet, or 86.1 cubic meters. That's about as much as a really small American studio apartment.

If it was job-related, I can imagine living in something that size for two months: even if equipment and supplies took up much of the volume. Bear in mind that I spend 12 to 14 hours a day at my desk, virtually plugged in to my computer. My idea of  'roomy' and yours may not be the same.

If Mr. Bigelow's "everything else" included air, water, food, power, and basic furniture, that $854.17 per day price tag doesn't seem so extravagant.

I checked, and that 'per day' rate is a bit less than I'd pay for one day at the Nemacolin Woodlands Resort (Pennsylvania) Chateau Lafayette Club Suite on a summer weekend or holiday.

I think Bigelow Aerospace may take off: literally and financially.

Even if that company doesn't, I'm quite sure that other folks will continue humanity's old habit of heading for the horizon:

1 I talked about UTC, 'Earth time,' last year. (July 10, 2015)

Briefly, "UTC" stands for Coordinated Universal Time, an acronym that happened when folks speaking French and English couldn't agree on an acronym.

UTC is based on International Atomic Time: a time standard set by the weighted average of over 400 atomic clocks in more than 50 laboratories at various spots at or near Earth's surface — coordinated by GPS and two-way satellite time and frequency transfer.

2 My faith's basic 'to do' list is quite simple. I should love God, love my neighbors, see everyone as my neighbor, and treat others as I'd like to be treated. (Matthew 5:43-44, 7:12, 22:36-40, Mark 12:28-31; Luke 6:31 10:25-27, 29-37; Catechism of the Catholic Church, 1789)

Acting as if that's true: that's what gets hard.

3 Background, far from exhaustive from:

Friday, February 5, 2016

Luxembourg and Asteroid Mining

Stories like "Rip Foster Rides the Gray Planet" and Red Dwarf's Dave Lister singing "...Lived an old plutonium miner / And his daughter Clementine..." probably didn't help make asteroid mining seem like a serious idea.

Then there's the 1966 Outer Space Treaty: a tribute to the high ideals, and international politics, of the '60s. The idea was that anything we find outside Earth's atmosphere would belong to everyone. Nifty idea, not entirely wrong, and I'll get back to that.
  1. A Grand Duchy and Space Mining
  2. Luxembourg's Space Mining Law: It's a Start
I had a little more more to say, so this post has an afterword:

Getting Started: Luxembourg and Lists


Luxembourg is a tiny European country with the world's second highest gross domestic product (GDP) per person.

Number one in that category is Qatar. Or maybe Luxembourg is number one, or Monaco — it depends on whose list you look at.

The United states is fifth, ninth, or 12th in line: according to the International Monetary Fund (2015), World Bank (2014), and United Nations (2014). (Wikipedia)

I could rant about foreign threats, or express fashionable melancholia while predicting the coming collapse of America and Western civilization — but neither makes much sense. Not to me. (July 5, 2015; October 24, 2014)

Instead, I'll talk about wealth, asteroid mining, and being Catholic: not necessarily in that order

Universal Destination of Goods and the Monkees


Having money doesn't hurt anyone. It's love of money that gets us in trouble:
"For the love of money is the root of all evils, and some people in their desire for it have strayed from the faith and have pierced themselves with many pains."
(1 Timothy 6:10)

"Let your life be free from love of money but be content with what you have, for he has said, 'I will never forsake you or abandon you.' "
(Hebrews 13:5)
I was one of 'those crazy kids' who realized that there was, or should be, more to life than buying stuff we didn't need, to impress people we didn't like, with money we didn't have.
"...Creature comfort goals
They only numb my soul and make it hard for me to see
My thoughts all seem to stray, to places far away
I need a change of scenery...
"
("Pleasant Valley Sunday," written by by Gerry Goffin and Carole King, performed by The Monkees in 1967; via A-Z Lyrics)
Again, the problem isn't money. It's loving the stuff.

Owning property is okay, but stealing isn't. Since I'm Catholic, I see paying unjust wages, 'forgetting' to return a loan, or preying on the ignorance of others, as a sort of theft: even if it's legal where I live. (Catechism of the Catholic Church, 2402-2405, 2409)

Not that I'm in a position to do much of that. As I've said before, my household isn't among America's wealthiest: not by a long shot. (January 17, 2016)

Respecting my right, and the right of others, to own property is part of the picture. I must also remember that a whole lot of folks owned, and will own, stuff that I own today. We're stewards of this world's resources: for our reasonable use, and for future generations. (Catechism, 2401, 2402, 2415)

Respect for personal property while remembering that each of us is responsible for helping others is the idea behind the universal destination of goods.
"...Solidarity is a spontaneous reaction by those who recognize that the social function of property and the universal destination of goods are realities which come before private property. The private ownership of goods is justified by the need to protect and increase them, so that they can better serve the common good; for this reason, solidarity must be lived as the decision to restore to the poor what belongs to them...."
("Evangelii Gaudium," Pope Francis (November 24, 2013))

"...As St. Ambrose put it: 'You are not making a gift of what is yours to the poor man, but you are giving him back what is his. You have been appropriating things that are meant to be for the common use of everyone. The earth belongs to everyone, not to the rich.'..."
("Populorum Progressio," Paul VI (March 26, 1967))

1. A Grand Duchy and Space Mining



(From SpaceResources.lu, via BBC News, used w/o permission.)
("Near-Earth asteroids could be a source of high-value minerals"
(BBC News))
"Luxembourg to support space mining"
By Jonathan Amos, BBC News (February 3, 2016)

"The Luxembourg government has signalled its intention to get behind the mining of asteroids in space.

"It is going to support R&D in technologies that would make it possible and may even invest directly in some companies.

"The Grand Duchy will also put in place a legal framework to give operators who are based in the country the confidence to go about their business...."
I'll get back to asteroids, business, and law, after a ramble though Luxembourg's story so far.

Folks have been living where Luxembourg is for at least 35,000 years, and were building houses around two dozen centuries ago: using pretty much the same wattle and daub technology that's still Europe's traditional building style: Gothic cathedrals notwithstanding. (May 8, 2015)

Fast-forwarding over Euro-Mediterranean history from the days of Plato to Julius Caesar, Treveri lived in Luxembourg. They alternately worked with and fought against Romans. That was about two millennia back.

"Treveri" is what Caesar called them. It means "flowing river," "across," "ferrymen," or something else; none of which has much to do with asteroids. Moving along.

The County of Luxemburg was a state in the Holy Roman Empire a thousand years later. I've talked about a warlord named Karl der Große, Verden, and getting a grip, before. (August 9, 2015)

A few centuries later it was the Duchy of Luxemburg, then the Grand Duchy of Luxembourg was a département in the French First Republic. Napoleon sorted that mess out, starting the First French Empire, and empires went out of style about a half-century back now.

Meanwhile, parts of Luxembourg had been in the United Kingdom of the Netherlands, Prussia, the German Confederation, Rhineland-Palatinate, and Belgium. Not all at the same time, though.

These days Luxembourg is a small country wedged between Belgium, German, and France; a founding member of the United Nations, NATO, and the European Coal and Steel Community. The latter became the European Economic Community before being called the European Community, which became part of the European Union.

When dust settled after the Belgian Revolution, not quite two centuries back, the United Kingdom of the Netherlands held today's Netherlands, Belgium, and Luxembourg.

Netherlands had Amsterdam — a 17th-century analog to New York City — Belgium collected a small empire, and Luxembourg was a landlocked country.

New Netherland's colonial government operated out of New Amsterdam until 1664. Then four English frigates sailed up to New Amsterdam and told the Dutch authorities to hand the place over: which they did.

That land grab helped start the Second Anglo-Dutch War.

European rulers haven't had their subjects slaughter each other in wholesale lots for more than a half-century now, so maybe there won't be another major war over who lands on which asteroid. On the other hand, "... man himself begets mischief, as sparks fly upward," as Job 5:7 says.

"New Kinds of Enterprise"



(From Planetary Resources, via BBC News, used w/o permission.)
(Planetary Resources' highly-optimistic infographic about "a modern day gold rush.")

I've talked about the Outer Space Treaty of 1966 before. (October 3, 2014)

Saying that space exploration should be "for the benefit and in the interests of all countries and shall be the province of all mankind" is wonderfully idealistic. I think it's also monumentally impractical: or "hippie optimism," as Tim Worstall said. An excerpt from his op-ed is this post's next item.

In the short term — the next few generations — I figure legal and political wrangling over how folks should live and work in space will provide employment for lawyers, politicos, and bureaucrats. (October 3, 2014)

In the long run, I hope we build a society that's better than the 'good old days' of the 19th and 20th centuries: which wouldn't take much. I remember 'Happy Days' America, and don't ever want to go back. (August 31, 2014)

I agree with Luigi Taparelli. I think capitalist and communist theories don't pay enough attention to ethics. (September 28, 2014)

Pope Emeritus Benedict XVI's "Caritas in Veritate" encyclical probably shocked and horrified folks who yearn for the 'good old days,' or simply don't like change. One of his points was that we can improve on today's 'business as usual,' building "new kinds of enterprise:"
"...It is to be hoped that these new kinds of enterprise will succeed in finding a suitable juridical and fiscal structure in every country. Without prejudice to the importance and the economic and social benefits of the more traditional forms of business, they steer the system towards a clearer and more complete assumption of duties on the part of economic subjects. And not only that. The very plurality of institutional forms of business gives rise to a market which is not only more civilized but also more competitive."
("Caritas in Veritate," 46, Benedict XVI, (June 29, 2009))

2. Luxembourg's Space Mining Law: It's a Start



(From NASA/AP, via Fortune, used w/o permission.)
"The Economic Problem With Luxembourg's Space Mining Law"
Tim Worstall, Op-ed, Forbes (February 3, 2016)

"Luxembourg has announced that it is going to be drawing up new laws to aid in defining how space mining may be efficiently and economically governed. This is useful, as under the current law ruling the issue, United Nations law, there's absolutely no chance at all of anyone being able to do such mining efficiently or even profitably. And this speaks to an issue of great importance for public policy. There are all sorts of resources out there–minerals in asteroids, He3 in the dust on the moon, all sorts of exciting minerals layering the deep sea (and in international waters) bed–but none of them can be effectively exploited without our having the right legal systems over ownership. The economics of how you can do it are determined by the legal structure that allows you to do it.

"If we retain the UN laws (which appear to have been written in some bout of hippie optimism) then it just won't be possible for anyone to do anything useful. They essentially say that mining isn't supposed to be for profit, it’s supposed only to be for the benefit of all mankind (rather missing the point that being offered minerals at a price you're willing to pay, whatever the profit being made on them, is to your benefit). And there isn’t supposed to be any ownership rights attached either to the mine or to the minerals extracted....

"...Here is what the big economic problem is: Protection of minerals extracted is fine, but what needs legal protection and ownership are the minerals not extracted...."
There may be a few folks who can afford spending several billion dollars on setting up an asteroid mining operation: and giving whatever they find to others.

Many of us, billionaires included, have bills to pay and families to feed: and can't afford dropping a few thousand megabucks in the collection basket.

The good news, as I see it, is that some of the world's wealthiest are willing to risk part of their fortunes on enterprises which may benefit themselves — and many others.

More:


Law and Looking Ahead


I think I understand some of the "hippie optimism" and international politics that gave us the Outer Space Treaty of 1966.

Now that we've got folks interested in making off-Earth resources available, it's time to file it under 'nice ideas that won't work.'

We need laws and regulations that let business operators do their job and give employees a chance to do theirs while earning a living. (Catechism, 2436-2436, particularly 2431-2432)

The task at hand is deciding how to avoid repeating the mistakes of the 19th century's laissez-faire capitalism blunders and the 20th century's experiments with communism.

About the latter, I think communism would work: with people designed along the lines of naked mole rats, ants, or termites. In a society where the citizens are human, not so much. (October 3, 2014)

I was going to talk about positive law, rules we make up to deal with current situations; and natural law, ethical principles that don't change: but as I write this it's late Thursday night, and I need my sleep. Besides, I've been over that before. (September 6, 2015; August 29, 2014)

One more thought, and I'm done.

The news and op-eds I've seen about Luxembourg's announcement focused on 'asteroid mining.'

However, that nation's February 3, 2016 press release mentioned asteroids as one example of available resources: "...a legal and regulatory framework confirming certainty about the future ownership of minerals extracted in space from Near Earth Objects (NEO's) such as asteroids...."

My guess is that asteroid mining will be important a century or two from now, maybe sooner. But metal and stone aren't the only precious commodities out there.

We don't think of substances like carbon, nitrogen, and oxygen, as "mineral" resources: partly because they're so common on Earth.

We literally can't live without them, though, so I'm pretty sure that volatile-rich comets will be at least as important as asteroids in the space-faring economy. (November 28, 2014)
"...Simon P. Worden, Chairman of the Breakthrough Prize Foundation said: 'Humanity is on the verge of expansion into the solar system – and then beyond. Using the resources we find there is essential – not only for our expansion into space but also to ensure continued prosperity here on Earth.'..."
(Luxembourg press release (February 3, 2016)
And that brings me to the usual list of somewhat-related posts:

Friday, January 8, 2016

Barsoom Development Ltd.

The Curiosity Mars Rover sent a 'postcard,' a 360-degree view of dunes and a mountain in Gale Crater.
  1. Postcard from Mars
  2. Postcard from Mars: 360° View
As usual, I'll ramble on about science, technology, and being human, before getting to the interesting stuff: assuming that you think a robotic selfie from Mars is interesting.

Not-entirely-as-usual, I wasn't finished rambling when I started the 'postcard' stuff, so this post has an afterword. I've done that before. (August 28, 2015; July 31, 2015)

This time it was about life, death, and Mars:

Mars and Humanity's Long Journey



(From NASA, via Wikimedia Commons, used w/o permission.)
(From the cover of "Human Exploration of Mars Design Reference Architecture 5.0," Bret G. Drake, Lyndon B. Johnson Space Center (January 15, 2009))

I don't think it's a question of 'will we travel to Mars.' It's 'will we travel to Mars in a few decades, centuries, or millennia?'

If it's during the next several decades, the odds are pretty good that at least one team will be with NASA. If we decide to put it off for a few centuries or more: it's likely that folks in another part of the world will have the resources and interest needed.

But I would be astonished if this is the moment in our long story when we stop acting like humans.

Starting at least 1,900,000 years back, we began leaving east Africa.

My ancestors include the lot who left humanity's homeland somewhere between 60,000 and 125,000 years ago. We followed receding glaciers into northwestern Europe, eventually crossing the northern Atlantic.

We headed inland, ending up a few day's walk short of the continent's geographic center.

I'm related by marriage to folks who arrived earlier, and that's another topic. Topics. (September 18, 2015; October 31, 2014: July 11, 2014; March 17, 2013)

Minnesota, Hawaii, and Radiation Burns


Outside the window, just over an arm's length to my right, water is a mineral: and won't melt for several months.

But technology ranging from several layers of cloth to polymer sheets made of stuff that didn't exist in my youth, keep the environment next to my skin pretty much like equatorial Africa.

I'd probably get the radiation burns we call sunburn if I went back. We've been away from home for a long time. Yet more topics. (November 20, 2015; October 16, 2015)

Over the last few million years, quite a few of us stayed home: wherever that was at the moment. But quite a few got fed up, were forced out, or simply wondered what was over the next hill: and went over the horizon.

I don't see that as a problem: but I'm descended partly from folks who ended up a tad north of Germania, and moved to a place that's even colder; so I'm arguably not at the 50th percentile.

As for settling Mars, we've done something like it before.

Somewhere between one and two millennia back, Polynesians stocked colony ships with everything they'd need to set up the ecosystem they preferred — and headed across Earth's largest ocean. Arriving in Hawaii, they may or may not have met folks whose ancestors made the trip earlier.

More about Hawaii and all that:
Living in Hawaii doesn't require the sort of tech we need to live on Mars: or Minnesota, for that matter. It's one of the few places on this planet that's actually comfortable for us.

A Vine, a Fig Tree, a Cistern, a Habitat Module - - -


(From "Human Exploration of Mars Design Reference Architecture 5.0," NASA, used w/o permission.)
(NASA's 'Mars and return' vehicle; 2015. Details will almost certainly change.)

Early outposts on Mars probably won't look exactly like the modules shown in "Mars Exploration Zones." (NASA, YouTube (December 22, 2015)

But I think the design won't be all that different, either. Requirements for living and working haven't changed all that much in the two dozen or so centuries since 2 Kings 18:31 was written.

What's different on Mars is that we'll need to set up a recycling system for air, water, and food. Here on Earth, that's mostly an automatic process that was working long before we showed up.

By now you may be wondering why I called this blog A Catholic Citizen in America. Probably not, though, if you've read these 'science' posts before.

If you know why I'm not offended by technology, truth, and the universe; skip ahead to Postcard from Mars: or get a cup of coffee, take a walk, sort your socks, or whatever. Or check out a short link list of resources.1

Psalms, Wisdom, and Getting a Grip



(From NASA, ESA, and the Hubble Heritage Team (STScI/AURA); ESA/Hubble Collaboration; used w/o permission.)

The universe is big and old. We've known this for a long time.
"The heavens declare the glory of God; the sky proclaims its builder's craft."
(Psalms 19:2)

"3 Terrible and awesome are you, stronger than the ancient mountains."
(Psalms 76:5)

"Yours are the heavens, yours the earth; you founded the world and everything in it."
(Psalms 89:12)

"Your throne stands firm from of old; you are from everlasting, LORD."
(Psalms 93:2)

"4 Indeed, before you the whole universe is as a grain from a balance, or a drop of morning dew come down upon the earth.

"But you have mercy on all, because you can do all things; and you overlook the sins of men that they may repent.

"For you love all things that are and loathe nothing that you have made; for what you hated, you would not have fashioned.

"And how could a thing remain, unless you willed it; or be preserved, had it not been called forth by you? "
(Wisdom 11:22-25)
Over the last few centuries, we've started getting a notion of just how big and old it is — which bothers some folks no end.

Then, around the middle of the 19th century, some folks said that because we can use the brains God gave us to understand this vast and orderly cosmos — God doesn't exist.

I'm over-simplifying the situation, but this post won't be ready by Friday morning if I start discussing why I think insisting that God agrees with some long-dead Dublin-born Englishman makes no sense. (January 9, 2015; July 15, 2014)

I've also talked about Copernicus, Galileo, newfangled ideas, and getting poetry and science confused, before. Also the possibility that we're not alone in the universe. (August 2, 2015; July 31, 2015; July 18, 2014)

Using Our Brains


I'm a Catholic, so I must believe that God made the universe and the things of faith. I must also believe that honest research cannot contradict faith. We're supposed to study this wonder-filled creation. (Catechism of the Catholic Church, 159, 2293)
"...God can not deny himself, nor can truth ever contradict truth...."
(Dei Filius, Vatican Council I, 248 (1870) (quoted in Catechism, 159))
Faith and reason, religion and science, get along fine: or should. (Catechism, 39, 159, 286)

Scientific discoveries are invitations "...to even greater admiration for the greatness of the Creator...." (Catechism, 283, 341)

The Catholic Church's view of science shouldn't be surprising — We're told that truth is very important. (Catechism, Prologue, 27, 74, more under Truth in the index)

Faith, in the Catholic sense, is not reason: but it's not unreasonable.

Since I believe that the things of faith come from God, that God created the world, and is Truth2 — fearing knowledge of God's world would be illogical.

Then there's the notion using our brains offends God. I've said this before, a lot —

Thinking is not a sin. We're expected to use our brains: wisely. Science and technology, learning about the universe and using that knowledge to develop new tools, is part of being human. (Wisdom 7:17; Catechism, 3071730, 2292-2295, 2415-2418)


1. Postcard from Mars



(From NASA/JPL-Caltech/MSSS, via Space.com, used w/o permission.)
("This Dec. 18, 2015, view of the downwind face of 'Namib Dune'" on Mars covers 360 degrees, including a portion of Mount Sharp on the horizon."
(Space.com))
"Curiosity Rover Eyes Towering Sand Dunes on Mars (Photos)"
Mike Wall, Space.com (January 6, 2015)

"NASA's Mars rover Curiosity has captured some spectacular new photos of big, active sand dunes on the Red Planet.

"The new images depict the dark Bagnold Dunes, which Curiosity has been studying for about 6 weeks in history's first up-close investigation of extraterrestrial sand dunes.

" 'The mission's dune-investigation campaign is designed to increase understanding about how wind moves and sorts grains of sand, in an environment with less gravity and much less atmosphere than well-studied dune fields on Earth,' NASA officials wrote Monday (Jan. 4) in a description of the new photos, which Curiosity took between Dec. 17 and Dec. 21...."
Mount Sharp's official name is Aeolis Mons. It's in Gale Crater, a few degrees south of the Martian equator. Layers visible on Mount Sharp/Aeolis Mons may be old lake bed deposits, exposed by a few billion years of wind and sand: or something else. (May 10, 2013)

Whatever processes shaped Mount Sharp, it looks like lakes and streams flowed in Gale Crater — billions of years ago. (NASA (October 8, 2015))


2. Postcard from Mars: 360° View



(From NASA/JPL-Caltech/MSSS; via Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology; used w/o permission.)
(Curiosity Rover in the Bagnold Dunes near Mount Sharp, Mars: a 360 degree view.)
"Full-Circle Panorama Beside 'Namib Dune' on Mars"
Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology (January 4, 2016)

"This view of the downwind face of 'Namib Dune' on Mars covers 360 degrees, including a portion of Mount Sharp on the horizon. The site is part of the dark-sand 'Bagnold Dunes' field along the northwestern flank of Mount Sharp. Images taken from orbit indicate that dunes in the Bagnold field move as much as about 3 feet (1 meter) per Earth year.

"The component images of this scene were taken on Dec. 18, 2015, by the Mast Camera (Mastcam) on NASA's Curiosity Mars rover during the 1,197th Martian day, or sol, of the rover's work on Mars.

"The bottom of the dune nearest the rover is about 23 feet (7 meters) from the camera. This downwind face of the dune rises at an inclination of about 28 degrees to a height of about 16 feet (5 meters) above the base. The center of the scene is toward the east; both ends are toward the west...."
That's probably not quite what we'd see if we were standing by Curiosity. The image was 'white balanced,' so the rocks and sand appear roughly as they would under Earth's sunlit sky. We're closer to the sun, so the light is more intense here.

Another adjustment "accommodates including rover hardware in the scene," as JPL put it.

More about that:
Now, a brief harangue about life, death, Mars, and being human.

Interestingly, harangue comes from Middle English arang, French harangue, Old Italian aringa — which came from from aringare ‎which means "speak in public." and aringo, "public assembly;" which probably has nothing to do with Ringo Starr.


Curiosity, Robonaut2, and being Human


That's a photo of Robonaut2, R2 for short, a NASA/General Motors robot, taken July 28, 2009. The pose reminds me of something from Shakespeare:
"...The cloud-capp'd towers, the gorgeous palaces, The solemn temples, the great globe itself, Ye all which it inherit, shall dissolve...."
(Shakespeare's "The Tempest," Prospero; Act 4, Scene 1)
Wrenching myself back on-topic — Nth-generation robonauts may land on Mars before we do, setting up ground facilities before the comparatively fragile humans arrive.

I suppose we could keep sending robots like Curiosity, stay here on Earth, and settle for a second-hand experience. I don't think that's going to happen. Certainly not unless we develop AI that's as good at dealing with the unexpected as we are.

AI, artificial intelligence, has come a long way in the last few decades. But this old quip still seems like a pretty good description of what robots and computers are good for, and one of our strengths —
Computers solve problems involving vast amounts of data, all of which is precisely correct. Humans solve problems involving very little data, most of which is wrong.
As I've said before, humans travel: a lot. (December 12, 2014; July 11, 2014)

Living and Dying on Mars



(From NASA, used w/o permission.)

I had an online conversation with someone who expressed the idea that going to Mars and dying there was a bad idea. My guess is that he was thinking of Mars One, a Netherlands-based outfit that plans to send folks on a one-way trip by 2027.

It's not as bad as it sounds. The idea is that they'll set up a permanent colony on Mars. My guess, and hope, is that Mars One folks are wildly optimistic about how long it will take to develop the necessary technology.

I won't go as far as authorities in United Arab Emirates who issued a fatwa against Muslims taking the trip: because it would be a form of suicide.3

What NASA and other outfits are planning for the immediate future are round trips: traveling to Mars, exploring part of the place, then returning to Earth. I'm pretty sure that we won't have the technical know-how to live there permanently for decades, maybe generations.

The biggest obstacle to settling Mars may be legal, not practical.

The Outer Space Treaty of 1966 says that space exploration should be "for the benefit and in the interests of all countries and shall be the province of all mankind."

I very strongly suspect that a few folks will have conniptions when space exploration leads to someone making practical use of Earth's Moon, or Mars, or any place they don't control. Or maybe it'll be because Barsoon Development Ltd is [shudder] making a profit.

I've been over that before. (October 3, 2014)

Getting back to Mars and staying alive: I think taking reasonable precautions to avoid accidental death while exploring, and later settling, other worlds makes sense.

But staying on Earth because eventually someone will die on Mars, or Earth's moon, or someplace else? That does not make sense, not to me. Folks have been living, and dying, on Earth for millions of years. That doesn't mean that we should stop living: on Earth, or elsewhere.

Bear in mind that I'm descended from folks who wound up in central North America: dying very far from humanity's home in eastern Africa.

I wouldn't be surprised if someone like me will eventually have a conversation with someone who thinks leaving the Solar System to die is a bad idea: because folks should live where God intended, in places like Winnipeg, Athabasca, or Gusev City.

And that's yet again another topic. (August 1, 2014)


(Detail of "city night," by molybdenumgp03, used w/o permission.)

Looking back, around, and ahead:

1 Background:
2 2 Samuel 7:28; Psalms 119:90; John 14:6; Catechism, 215-217)

3 Suicide is a bad idea and we shouldn't do it — no, Catholics are not supposed to believe that folks who kill themselves automatically go to Hell. (Catechism, 2280-2283)

Suicide is a very personal topic for me, in part because I've experienced the impulse. (December 14, 2014)

More about suicide and dealing with depression:

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Marian Apparition: Champion, Wisconsin

Background:Posts in this blog: In the news:

What's That Doing in a Nice Catholic Blog?

From time to time, a service that I use will display links to - odd - services and retailers.

I block a few of the more obvious dubious advertisers.

For example: psychic anything, numerology, mediums, and related practices are on the no-no list for Catholics. It has to do with the Church's stand on divination. I try to block those ads.

Sometime regrettable advertisements get through, anyway.

Bottom line? What that service displays reflects the local culture's norms, - not Catholic teaching.